周日001 · 2026-09-13 17:00 · Finished
东京绿茵 vs 千叶市原AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
东京绿茵 win 54.0%
Confidence 30.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 54.0% | 22.8% | 23.2% | 胜 | 30.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.031
Away
0.036
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.85 | — |
| Draw | 2.71 | 1.76 | 4.38 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.32 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 东京绿茵 vs 千叶市原?
The AI model leans 东京绿茵 win at 54.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 54.0%, draw 22.8%, away 23.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-13 17:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.