周六001 · 2026-09-05 18:00 · Finished
福冈黄蜂 vs 水户蜀葵AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
福冈黄蜂 win 46.7%
Confidence 18.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 46.7% | 25.0% | 28.3% | 胜 | 18.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.036
Draw
0.031
Away
0.045
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.14 | — |
| Draw | 3.73 | 2.42 | 4.00 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.53 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 福冈黄蜂 vs 水户蜀葵?
The AI model leans 福冈黄蜂 win at 46.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 46.7%, draw 25.0%, away 28.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 18:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.