周六001 · 2026-08-15 17:00 · Finished
鹿岛鹿角 vs 名古屋鲸AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
鹿岛鹿角 win 57.3%
Confidence 33.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 57.3% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 胜 | 33.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.030
Away
0.048
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.74 | — |
| Draw | 3.60 | 2.34 | 4.22 | — |
| Away | — | — | 5.26 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 鹿岛鹿角 vs 名古屋鲸?
The AI model leans 鹿岛鹿角 win at 57.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 57.3%, draw 23.7%, away 19.0%. Kickoff 2026-08-15 17:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.