周日002 · 2026-08-09 18:00 · Finished
长崎航海 vs 京都不死鸟AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
京都不死鸟 win 43.4%
Confidence 13.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 30.4% | 26.2% | 43.4% | 负 | 13.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.047
Draw
0.028
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 2.23 | 3.29 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.82 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.30 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 长崎航海 vs 京都不死鸟?
The AI model leans 京都不死鸟 win at 43.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 30.4%, draw 26.2%, away 43.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 18:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.