周六001 · 2026-08-08 18:00 · Finished
大阪樱花 vs 冈山绿雉AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
大阪樱花 win 40.7%
Confidence 8.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 40.7% | 32.6% | 26.7% | 胜 | 8.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.028
Away
0.045
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 1.75 | 2.46 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.07 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.74 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 大阪樱花 vs 冈山绿雉?
The AI model leans 大阪樱花 win at 40.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 40.7%, draw 32.6%, away 26.7%. Kickoff 2026-08-08 18:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.