周五001 · 2026-08-07 18:25 · Finished
横滨水手 vs 鹿岛鹿角AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-4（负）
AI Lean
横滨水手 win 42.8%
Confidence 9.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 42.8% | 24.0% | 33.2% | 胜 | 9.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.034
Draw
0.023
Away
0.039
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.33 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.17 | — |
| Away | 2.32 | 1.51 | 3.01 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 横滨水手 vs 鹿岛鹿角?
The AI model leans 横滨水手 win at 42.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 42.8%, draw 24.0%, away 33.2%. Kickoff 2026-08-07 18:25.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.