周四008 · 2026-08-14 02:45 · Finished
哈茨 vs 本菲卡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
本菲卡 win 81.5%
Confidence 72.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 9.4% | 9.0% | 81.5% | 负 | 72.0% |
| 14-Match | 9.4% | 9.0% | 81.5% | 负 | 72.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.056
Draw
0.054
Away
0.025
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 1.81 | 10.58 | — |
| Draw | 4.77 | 3.10 | 11.06 | — |
| Away | 2.31 | 1.50 | 1.23 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 哈茨 vs 本菲卡?
The AI model leans 本菲卡 win at 81.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 9.4%, draw 9.0%, away 81.5%. Kickoff 2026-08-14 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.