周四005 · 2026-08-07 03:00 · Finished
本菲卡 vs 哈茨AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 6-1（胜）
AI Lean
本菲卡 win 89.8%
Confidence 82.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 89.8% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 胜 | 82.1% |
| 14-Match | 89.8% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 胜 | 82.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.037
Draw
0.126
Away
0.191
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 1.22 | 1.11 | — |
| Draw | 4.13 | 2.68 | 12.97 | — |
| Away | 4.36 | 2.83 | 40.82 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 本菲卡 vs 哈茨?
The AI model leans 本菲卡 win at 89.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 89.8%, draw 7.7%, away 2.5%. Kickoff 2026-08-07 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.