周四003 · 2026-08-14 01:00 · Finished
AEP帕福斯 vs 萨尔茨堡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-3（平）
AI Lean
萨尔茨堡 win 42.4%
Confidence 11.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 31.0% | 26.6% | 42.4% | 负 | 11.4% |
| 14-Match | 31.0% | 26.6% | 42.4% | 负 | 11.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.051
Draw
0.038
Away
0.029
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 2.60 | 3.23 | — |
| Draw | 3.70 | 2.41 | 3.76 | — |
| Away | 2.08 | 1.35 | 2.36 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win AEP帕福斯 vs 萨尔茨堡?
The AI model leans 萨尔茨堡 win at 42.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 31.0%, draw 26.6%, away 42.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-14 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.