周二009 · 2026-08-12 03:00 · Finished
里昂 vs 布斯巴达AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-0（胜）
AI Lean
里昂 win 56.2%
Confidence 32.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 56.2% | 20.4% | 23.4% | 胜 | 32.7% |
| 14-Match | 56.2% | 20.4% | 23.4% | 胜 | 32.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.047
Draw
0.055
Away
0.084
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 1.18 | 1.78 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.90 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.27 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 里昂 vs 布斯巴达?
The AI model leans 里昂 win at 56.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 56.2%, draw 20.4%, away 23.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-12 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.