周二005 · 2026-08-05 02:00 · Finished
布斯巴达 vs 里昂AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
里昂 win 49.3%
Confidence 23.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 25.1% | 25.7% | 49.3% | 负 | 23.6% |
| 14-Match | 25.1% | 25.7% | 49.3% | 负 | 23.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.056
Draw
0.031
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 2.26 | 3.99 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.90 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.03 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 布斯巴达 vs 里昂?
The AI model leans 里昂 win at 49.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 25.1%, draw 25.7%, away 49.3%. Kickoff 2026-08-05 02:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.