周二003 · 2026-08-12 00:00 · Finished
博德闪耀 vs 圣吉罗斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
博德闪耀 win 48.8%
Confidence 16.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 48.8% | 18.7% | 32.6% | 胜 | 16.2% |
| 14-Match | 48.8% | 18.7% | 32.6% | 胜 | 16.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.043
Draw
0.039
Away
0.056
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.05 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.36 | — |
| Away | 2.70 | 1.76 | 3.07 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 博德闪耀 vs 圣吉罗斯?
The AI model leans 博德闪耀 win at 48.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 48.8%, draw 18.7%, away 32.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-12 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.