周日006 · 2026-08-09 19:30 · Finished
纽伦堡 vs 德累斯顿AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-0（胜）
AI Lean
德累斯顿 win 37.5%
Confidence 5.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 30.5% | 32.0% | 37.5% | 负 | 5.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.039
Draw
0.030
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 1.40 | 3.28 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.12 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.67 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 纽伦堡 vs 德累斯顿?
The AI model leans 德累斯顿 win at 37.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 30.5%, draw 32.0%, away 37.5%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 19:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.