周日005 · 2026-08-09 19:30 · Finished
圣保利 vs 菲尔特AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
圣保利 win 46.3%
Confidence 10.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 46.3% | 17.7% | 35.9% | 胜 | 10.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.039
Away
0.046
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.16 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.64 | — |
| Away | 2.52 | 1.64 | 2.78 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 圣保利 vs 菲尔特?
The AI model leans 圣保利 win at 46.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 46.3%, draw 17.7%, away 35.9%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 19:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.