周日017 · 2026-09-14 01:00 · Finished
本菲卡 vs 吉维森特AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
本菲卡 win 89.6%
Confidence 82.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 89.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 胜 | 82.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.020
Draw
0.104
Away
0.153
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.12 | — |
| Draw | 4.09 | 2.66 | 13.76 | — |
| Away | — | — | 32.26 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 本菲卡 vs 吉维森特?
The AI model leans 本菲卡 win at 89.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 89.6%, draw 7.3%, away 3.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-14 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.