26125 · 2026-09-15 01:45 · Finished
里奥阿维 vs 阿马多拉AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-3（平）
AI Lean
阿马多拉 win 42.3%
Confidence 11.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-Match | 31.0% | 26.8% | 42.3% | 负 | 11.3% |
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 1.98 | 3.23 | — |
| Draw | 3.34 | 2.17 | 3.74 | — |
| Away | 2.68 | 1.74 | 2.37 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 里奥阿维 vs 阿马多拉?
The AI model leans 阿马多拉 win at 42.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 31.0%, draw 26.8%, away 42.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-15 01:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.