周六025 · 2026-09-13 01:00 · Finished
卡萨皮亚 vs 波尔图AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-4（负）
AI Lean
波尔图 win 76.8%
Confidence 63.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 13.2% | 10.0% | 76.8% | 负 | 63.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.133
Draw
0.084
Away
0.026
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 7.56 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 10.03 | — |
| Away | 2.91 | 1.89 | 1.30 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 卡萨皮亚 vs 波尔图?
The AI model leans 波尔图 win at 76.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 13.2%, draw 10.0%, away 76.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-13 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.