周一012 · 2026-09-15 03:45 · Finished
布拉加 vs 埃斯托里AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
布拉加 win 47.2%
Confidence 11.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 47.2% | 35.9% | 16.9% | 胜 | 11.4% |
| 14-Match | 47.2% | 35.9% | 16.9% | 胜 | 11.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.043
Away
0.073
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 1.27 | 2.12 | — |
| Draw | 3.32 | 2.16 | 2.79 | — |
| Away | 5.23 | 3.40 | 5.90 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 布拉加 vs 埃斯托里?
The AI model leans 布拉加 win at 47.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 47.2%, draw 35.9%, away 16.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-15 03:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.