26117 · 2026-09-05 03:15 · Finished
波尔图 vs 摩雷伦斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
波尔图 win 90.0%
Confidence 83.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 90.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 胜 | 83.1% |
| 14-Match | 90.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 胜 | 83.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.020
Draw
0.087
Away
0.140
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.11 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 14.51 | — |
| Away | 2.57 | 1.67 | 32.36 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 波尔图 vs 摩雷伦斯?
The AI model leans 波尔图 win at 90.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 90.0%, draw 6.9%, away 3.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 03:15.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.