周六023 · 2026-09-06 01:00 · Finished
马里迪莫 vs 本菲卡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-3（负）
AI Lean
本菲卡 win 71.5%
Confidence 54.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 11.2% | 17.3% | 71.5% | 负 | 54.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.125
Draw
0.082
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 8.94 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.78 | — |
| Away | 3.03 | 1.97 | 1.40 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 马里迪莫 vs 本菲卡?
The AI model leans 本菲卡 win at 71.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 11.2%, draw 17.3%, away 71.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-06 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.