周一007 · 2026-09-08 03:15 · Finished
埃斯托里 vs 阿罗卡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-0（平）
AI Lean
埃斯托里 win 39.1%
Confidence 1.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 39.1% | 23.4% | 37.5% | 胜 | 1.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.023
Away
0.034
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 2.09 | 2.56 | — |
| Draw | 3.77 | 2.45 | 4.28 | — |
| Away | 2.35 | 1.53 | 2.67 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 埃斯托里 vs 阿罗卡?
The AI model leans 埃斯托里 win at 39.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 39.1%, draw 23.4%, away 37.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-08 03:15.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.