周三012 · 2026-09-10 03:45 · Finished
摩雷伦斯 vs 本菲卡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-4（负）
AI Lean
本菲卡 win 86.2%
Confidence 76.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 4.5% | 9.3% | 86.2% | 负 | 76.9% |
| 14-Match | 4.5% | 9.3% | 86.2% | 负 | 76.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.119
Draw
0.090
Away
0.017
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 22.03 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 10.75 | — |
| Away | 2.29 | 1.49 | 1.16 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 摩雷伦斯 vs 本菲卡?
The AI model leans 本菲卡 win at 86.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 4.5%, draw 9.3%, away 86.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-10 03:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.