周四006 · 2026-09-11 03:15 · Finished
阿马多拉 vs 布拉加AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
布拉加 win 59.0%
Confidence 31.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 13.4% | 27.6% | 59.0% | 负 | 31.4% |
| 14-Match | 13.4% | 27.6% | 59.0% | 负 | 31.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.056
Draw
0.029
Away
0.031
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 2.00 | 7.44 | — |
| Draw | 2.76 | 1.79 | 3.63 | — |
| Away | 3.18 | 2.07 | 1.69 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 阿马多拉 vs 布拉加?
The AI model leans 布拉加 win at 59.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 13.4%, draw 27.6%, away 59.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-11 03:15.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.