26105 · 2026-08-16 03:30 · Finished
里奥阿维 vs 波尔图AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-2（负）
AI Lean
波尔图 win 73.9%
Confidence 56.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 8.5% | 17.6% | 73.9% | 负 | 56.3% |
| 14-Match | 8.5% | 17.6% | 73.9% | 负 | 56.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.069
Draw
0.040
Away
0.026
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 11.74 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.69 | — |
| Away | 1.91 | 1.24 | 1.35 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 里奥阿维 vs 波尔图?
The AI model leans 波尔图 win at 73.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 8.5%, draw 17.6%, away 73.9%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 03:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.