周日026 · 2026-08-17 03:30 · Finished
法马利康 vs 马里迪莫AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
法马利康 win 43.9%
Confidence 13.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 43.9% | 25.5% | 30.6% | 胜 | 13.3% |
| 14-Match | 43.9% | 25.5% | 30.6% | 胜 | 13.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.024
Away
0.055
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.28 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.92 | — |
| Away | 2.09 | 1.36 | 3.27 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 法马利康 vs 马里迪莫?
The AI model leans 法马利康 win at 43.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 43.9%, draw 25.5%, away 30.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-17 03:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.