周日027 · 2026-08-17 03:30 · Finished
布拉加 vs 吉维森特AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
Draw 40.0%
Confidence 5.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 34.1% | 40.0% | 25.9% | 平 | 5.9% |
| 14-Match | 34.1% | 40.0% | 25.9% | 平 | 5.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.028
Away
0.064
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.00 | 0.65 | 2.93 | — |
| Draw | 1.00 | 0.65 | 2.50 | — |
| Away | 1.00 | 0.65 | 3.87 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 布拉加 vs 吉维森特?
The AI model leans Draw at 40.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 34.1%, draw 40.0%, away 25.9%. Kickoff 2026-08-17 03:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.