周日023 · 2026-08-17 01:00 · Finished
阿罗卡 vs 摩雷伦斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 4-0（胜）
AI Lean
阿罗卡 win 51.0%
Confidence 26.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 51.0% | 24.3% | 24.7% | 胜 | 26.3% |
| 14-Match | 51.0% | 24.3% | 24.7% | 胜 | 26.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.037
Away
0.067
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 1.16 | 1.96 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.11 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.06 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 阿罗卡 vs 摩雷伦斯?
The AI model leans 阿罗卡 win at 51.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 51.0%, draw 24.3%, away 24.7%. Kickoff 2026-08-17 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.