26105 · 2026-08-15 22:30 · Finished
艾华卡 vs 阿马多拉AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
艾华卡 win 43.1%
Confidence 13.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 43.1% | 29.9% | 27.0% | 胜 | 13.3% |
| 14-Match | 43.1% | 29.9% | 27.0% | 胜 | 13.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.027
Away
0.048
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.32 | — |
| Draw | 3.19 | 2.07 | 3.35 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.70 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 艾华卡 vs 阿马多拉?
The AI model leans 艾华卡 win at 43.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 43.1%, draw 29.9%, away 27.0%. Kickoff 2026-08-15 22:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.