26101 · 2026-08-09 01:00 · Finished
吉马良斯 vs 阿罗卡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-1（负）
AI Lean
吉马良斯 win 38.9%
Confidence 4.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 38.9% | 34.5% | 26.6% | 胜 | 4.5% |
| 14-Match | 38.9% | 34.5% | 26.6% | 胜 | 4.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.030
Draw
0.025
Away
0.041
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.57 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.90 | — |
| Away | 5.05 | 3.28 | 3.76 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 吉马良斯 vs 阿罗卡?
The AI model leans 吉马良斯 win at 38.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 38.9%, draw 34.5%, away 26.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.