周一003 · 2026-08-11 03:15 · Finished
圣克拉拉 vs 葡萄牙国民AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
圣克拉拉 win 44.6%
Confidence 16.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 44.6% | 28.1% | 27.2% | 胜 | 16.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.037
Draw
0.026
Away
0.062
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.24 | — |
| Draw | 3.12 | 2.03 | 3.55 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.67 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 圣克拉拉 vs 葡萄牙国民?
The AI model leans 圣克拉拉 win at 44.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 44.6%, draw 28.1%, away 27.2%. Kickoff 2026-08-11 03:15.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.