周日022 · 2026-08-10 03:30 · Finished
摩雷伦斯 vs 布拉加AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
布拉加 win 50.6%
Confidence 18.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 16.7% | 32.7% | 50.6% | 负 | 18.0% |
| 14-Match | 16.7% | 32.7% | 50.6% | 负 | 18.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.061
Draw
0.032
Away
0.025
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 1.53 | 6.00 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.06 | — |
| Away | — | — | 1.97 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 摩雷伦斯 vs 布拉加?
The AI model leans 布拉加 win at 50.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 16.7%, draw 32.7%, away 50.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-10 03:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.