周五010 · 2026-08-08 03:15 · Finished
埃斯托里 vs 法马利康AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1(平)
AI Lean
埃斯托里 win 48.4%
Confidence 17.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 48.4% | 20.5% | 31.2% | 胜 | 17.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.028
Away
0.035
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.07 | — |
| Draw | 3.00 | 1.95 | 4.88 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.21 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 埃斯托里 vs 法马利康?
The AI model leans 埃斯托里 win at 48.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 48.4%, draw 20.5%, away 31.2%. Kickoff 2026-08-08 03:15.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.