周日025 · 2026-09-21 01:30 · Finished
帕德博恩 vs 霍芬海姆AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
霍芬海姆 win 41.3%
Confidence 10.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 30.7% | 28.1% | 41.3% | 负 | 10.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.037
Draw
0.036
Away
0.031
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 1.50 | 3.26 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.57 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.42 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 帕德博恩 vs 霍芬海姆?
The AI model leans 霍芬海姆 win at 41.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 30.7%, draw 28.1%, away 41.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-21 01:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.