26130 · 2026-09-19 21:30 · Finished
不来梅 vs 奥格斯堡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-2（胜）
AI Lean
奥格斯堡 win 39.8%
Confidence 5.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 25.6% | 34.6% | 39.8% | 负 | 5.2% |
| 14-Match | 25.6% | 34.6% | 39.8% | 负 | 5.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.024
Away
0.044
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 1.44 | 3.90 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.89 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.51 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 不来梅 vs 奥格斯堡?
The AI model leans 奥格斯堡 win at 39.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 25.6%, draw 34.6%, away 39.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.