26130 · 2026-09-19 21:30 · Finished
汉堡 vs 科隆AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
科隆 win 40.0%
Confidence 4.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 24.6% | 35.5% | 40.0% | 负 | 4.5% |
| 14-Match | 24.6% | 35.5% | 40.0% | 负 | 4.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.026
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 2.25 | 4.07 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.82 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.50 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 汉堡 vs 科隆?
The AI model leans 科隆 win at 40.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 24.6%, draw 35.5%, away 40.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.