26130 · 2026-09-19 21:30 · Finished
门兴 vs 美因茨AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-4（负）
AI Lean
美因茨 win 50.7%
Confidence 23.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 21.9% | 27.4% | 50.7% | 负 | 23.4% |
| 14-Match | 21.9% | 27.4% | 50.7% | 负 | 23.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.039
Draw
0.028
Away
0.034
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.57 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.66 | — |
| Away | 2.06 | 1.34 | 1.97 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 门兴 vs 美因茨?
The AI model leans 美因茨 win at 50.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 21.9%, draw 27.4%, away 50.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.