26123 · 2026-09-12 21:30 · Finished
美因茨 vs 法兰克福AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-3（负）
AI Lean
美因茨 win 50.5%
Confidence 24.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 50.5% | 25.8% | 23.7% | 胜 | 24.7% |
| 14-Match | 50.5% | 25.8% | 23.7% | 胜 | 24.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.031
Away
0.046
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.98 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.88 | — |
| Away | 4.81 | 3.13 | 4.21 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 美因茨 vs 法兰克福?
The AI model leans 美因茨 win at 50.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 50.5%, draw 25.8%, away 23.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.