26123 · 2026-09-12 21:30 · Finished
奥格斯堡 vs 勒沃库森AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
勒沃库森 win 41.4%
Confidence 8.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 26.1% | 32.6% | 41.4% | 负 | 8.8% |
| 14-Match | 26.1% | 32.6% | 41.4% | 负 | 8.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.049
Draw
0.029
Away
0.031
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 1.34 | 3.84 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.07 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.42 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 奥格斯堡 vs 勒沃库森?
The AI model leans 勒沃库森 win at 41.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 26.1%, draw 32.6%, away 41.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.