周六007 · 2026-09-12 21:30 · Finished
弗赖堡 vs 门兴AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 5-0（胜）
AI Lean
弗赖堡 win 47.3%
Confidence 20.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 47.3% | 27.0% | 25.7% | 胜 | 20.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.034
Draw
0.028
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 1.42 | 2.11 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.71 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.89 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 弗赖堡 vs 门兴?
The AI model leans 弗赖堡 win at 47.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 47.3%, draw 27.0%, away 25.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.