26123 · 2026-09-12 21:30 · Finished
多特蒙德 vs 帕德博恩AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-0（胜）
AI Lean
多特蒙德 win 67.0%
Confidence 46.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 67.0% | 20.5% | 12.4% | 胜 | 46.5% |
| 14-Match | 67.0% | 20.5% | 12.4% | 胜 | 46.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.047
Away
0.090
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 1.81 | 1.49 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.87 | — |
| Away | — | — | 8.06 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 多特蒙德 vs 帕德博恩?
The AI model leans 多特蒙德 win at 67.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 67.0%, draw 20.5%, away 12.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.