26124 · 2026-09-13 21:30 · Finished
莱比锡 vs 汉堡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 5-0（胜）
AI Lean
莱比锡 win 63.7%
Confidence 42.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 63.7% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 胜 | 42.8% |
| 14-Match | 63.7% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 胜 | 42.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.040
Away
0.064
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 1.20 | 1.57 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.76 | — |
| Away | — | — | 6.55 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 莱比锡 vs 汉堡?
The AI model leans 莱比锡 win at 63.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 63.7%, draw 21.0%, away 15.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-13 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.