26118 · 2026-09-05 21:30 · Finished
帕德博恩 vs 弗赖堡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-1（负）
AI Lean
帕德博恩 win 37.7%
Confidence 1.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 37.7% | 25.8% | 36.5% | 胜 | 1.2% |
| 14-Match | 37.7% | 25.8% | 36.5% | 胜 | 1.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.040
Draw
0.029
Away
0.035
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.65 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.87 | — |
| Away | 1.98 | 1.29 | 2.74 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 帕德博恩 vs 弗赖堡?
The AI model leans 帕德博恩 win at 37.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 37.7%, draw 25.8%, away 36.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.