周日012 · 2026-09-06 21:30 · Finished
汉堡 vs 美因茨AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-5（负）
AI Lean
美因茨 win 37.4%
Confidence 1.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 36.0% | 26.6% | 37.4% | 负 | 1.5% |
| 14-Match | 36.0% | 26.6% | 37.4% | 负 | 1.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.035
Draw
0.024
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.78 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.76 | — |
| Away | 3.00 | 1.95 | 2.67 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 汉堡 vs 美因茨?
The AI model leans 美因茨 win at 37.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 36.0%, draw 26.6%, away 37.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-06 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.