26118 · 2026-09-05 21:30 · Finished
不来梅 vs 莱比锡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
莱比锡 win 65.6%
Confidence 45.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 14.5% | 19.9% | 65.6% | 负 | 45.7% |
| 14-Match | 14.5% | 19.9% | 65.6% | 负 | 45.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.043
Draw
0.028
Away
0.035
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 2.10 | 6.88 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.03 | — |
| Away | — | — | 1.52 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 不来梅 vs 莱比锡?
The AI model leans 莱比锡 win at 65.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 14.5%, draw 19.9%, away 65.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.