周六007 · 2026-09-05 21:30 · Finished
门兴 vs 艾禾斯堡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-4（负）
AI Lean
门兴 win 42.2%
Confidence 9.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 42.2% | 25.3% | 32.5% | 胜 | 9.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.037
Draw
0.023
Away
0.047
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.37 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.96 | — |
| Away | 4.72 | 3.07 | 3.07 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 门兴 vs 艾禾斯堡?
The AI model leans 门兴 win at 42.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 42.2%, draw 25.3%, away 32.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.