26118 · 2026-09-05 21:30 · Finished
霍芬海姆 vs 多特蒙德AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-3（负）
AI Lean
多特蒙德 win 42.4%
Confidence 8.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 34.4% | 23.3% | 42.4% | 负 | 8.0% |
| 14-Match | 34.4% | 23.3% | 42.4% | 负 | 8.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.023
Away
0.035
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.91 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.30 | — |
| Away | 2.29 | 1.49 | 2.36 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 霍芬海姆 vs 多特蒙德?
The AI model leans 多特蒙德 win at 42.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 34.4%, draw 23.3%, away 42.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.