周日028 · 2026-09-21 03:00 · Finished
巴伦西亚 vs 皇家社会AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-3（负）
AI Lean
巴伦西亚 win 38.1%
Confidence 5.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 38.1% | 29.1% | 32.8% | 胜 | 5.4% |
| 14-Match | 38.1% | 29.1% | 32.8% | 胜 | 5.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.035
Draw
0.036
Away
0.031
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.62 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.43 | — |
| Away | 2.74 | 1.78 | 3.05 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 巴伦西亚 vs 皇家社会?
The AI model leans 巴伦西亚 win at 38.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 38.1%, draw 29.1%, away 32.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-21 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.