周六007 · 2026-09-19 20:00 · Finished
奥萨苏纳 vs 巴列卡诺AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
巴列卡诺 win 47.1%
Confidence 16.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 22.5% | 30.3% | 47.1% | 负 | 16.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.039
Draw
0.027
Away
0.026
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.44 | — |
| Draw | 3.20 | 2.08 | 3.29 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.12 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 奥萨苏纳 vs 巴列卡诺?
The AI model leans 巴列卡诺 win at 47.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 22.5%, draw 30.3%, away 47.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 20:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.