周日008 · 2026-09-20 20:00 · Finished
赫塔费 vs 马拉加AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
赫塔费 win 66.3%
Confidence 46.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 66.3% | 20.3% | 13.5% | 胜 | 46.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.032
Away
0.044
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 1.27 | 1.51 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.94 | — |
| Away | — | — | 7.41 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 赫塔费 vs 马拉加?
The AI model leans 赫塔费 win at 66.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 66.3%, draw 20.3%, away 13.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-20 20:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.