26129 · 2026-09-19 03:00 · Finished
西班牙人 vs 埃尔切AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-3（负）
AI Lean
西班牙人 win 54.6%
Confidence 30.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 54.6% | 23.9% | 21.4% | 胜 | 30.7% |
| 14-Match | 54.6% | 23.9% | 21.4% | 胜 | 30.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.027
Away
0.054
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.83 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.18 | — |
| Away | 5.93 | 3.85 | 4.67 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 西班牙人 vs 埃尔切?
The AI model leans 西班牙人 win at 54.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 54.6%, draw 23.9%, away 21.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.